2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 9th Overall

Jul 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cole Prosek 49.5%
Ty Head 49.5%
Grady Emerson 49.0%
Roch Cholowsky 49.0%
Vahn Lackey 49.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 9th Overall”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cole Prosek is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,950% chance of winning. Andrew Williamson follows in second place at 4,950%, while Ty Head sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cole Prosek (4,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cole Prosek is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Andrew Williamson (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Andrew Williamson maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
  • Ty Head (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ty Head, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Grady Emerson (4,900%), Roch Cholowsky (4,900%), and Vahn Lackey (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Jackson Flora are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cole Prosek4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
2Andrew Williamson4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
3Ty Head4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
4Grady Emerson4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
5Roch Cholowsky4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
6Vahn Lackey4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
7Jackson Flora4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
8Jacob Lombard4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
9Eric Booth Jr.4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
10Drew Burress4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
11Gio Rojas4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
12Justin Lebron4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
13Tyler Bell4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14Ryder Helfrick4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
15Derek Curiel4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
16Trevor Condon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
17Chris Hacopian4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
18Cameron Flukey4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
19Jared Grindlinger4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
20Hunter Dietz4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
21Ace Reese4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
22AJ Gracia4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
23Liam Peterson4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
24Bo Lowrance4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
25Sawyer Strosnider4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
26Brody Bumila4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
27Carson Bolemon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
28Tegan Kuhns4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29Cole Carlon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
30Daniel Jackson4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
31Aiden Robbins4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
32Zion Rose4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
33Logan Reddemann4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
34Aiden Ruiz4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
35Caden Sorrell4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
36Landon Thome4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
37Cade Townsend4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
38Mason Edwards4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
39Taj Marchand4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
40Gavin Grahovac4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
41James Clark4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
42Taylor Rabe4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
43Eric Becker4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
44Logan Hughes4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
45Coleman Borthwick4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
46Jack Radel4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
47Logan Schmidt4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
48Will Brick4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
49Chris Rembert4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
50Jarren Advincula4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
51Rocco Maniscalco4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
52Wes Mendes4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
53Tyler Spangler4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
54Archer Horn4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
55Connor Comeau4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
56Jensen Hirschkorn4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
57Ben Blair4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
58Jake Brown4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
59Kaden Waechter2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
60Chase Brunson2700.0%2700¢-2600¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted ninth overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted 9th Overall"?

As of the latest update, Cole Prosek leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4,950% win probability, followed by Andrew Williamson at 4,950% and Ty Head at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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