PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, S.Y. Noh is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,950% chance of winning. Brian Harman follows in second place at 4,850%, while Tom Kim sits in third with 4,800%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• S.Y. Noh (4,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, S.Y. Noh is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Brian Harman (4,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Brian Harman maintains a 4,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,850¢.
• Tom Kim (4,800%): Sitting in third place with a 4,800% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Tom Kim, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen (4,800%), Michael Brennan (4,800%), and Max Greyserman (4,800%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like William Mouw are still attracting notable interest.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 3M Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the 3M Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the 3M Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by August 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).