Auto Sales Momentum

Use This Skill When

• The user wants to assess the direction of auto demand.
• The task requires combining units, inventories, incentives, and pricing into one cycle read.
• The analysis needs implications for OEMs, dealers, or suppliers.

Required Inputs

• market: US, Europe, China, or other auto region
• segments: ICE, EV, luxury, mass-market, trucks, used cars, or another slice
• signals: unit sales, SAAR, dealer inventories, incentives, ATPs, financing conditions
• time horizon: current quarter, next 6 months, or 12 months
• If some data is unavailable, say which parts of the demand stack are inferred rather than observed.

Workflow

1. Define the auto market slice and horizon.
2. Review unit momentum and seasonality.
3. Assess inventories, incentives, and pricing discipline.
4. Evaluate financing conditions and affordability.
5. Separate strong demand from supply normalization or easy comps.
6. Conclude on the cycle state and read-through to exposed names.

Output Requirements

• Focus on units, mix, pricing, and affordability together.
• Distinguish true demand strength from inventory restocking or incentive shifts.
• State whether the cycle is accelerating, plateauing, or weakening.
• Tie the read to OEM, dealer, and supplier implications when relevant.

Output Template

Quality Checks

• Confirm units, pricing, and inventories are all addressed.
• Check that affordability and financing are included when relevant.
• Verify the conclusion distinguishes demand from supply normalization.
• Make sure segment differences are explicit if mixed markets are discussed.

Guardrails

• Do not treat one month of sales as a full cycle change.
• Do not ignore incentives when discussing pricing.
• Do not mix EV and ICE trends without saying so.
• Do not fabricate sales or inventory data.

Example Prompts

• Give me an auto sales momentum view for the US market over the next two quarters.
• Explain whether auto demand is improving or just benefiting from better supply.
• Build an auto cycle read-through for OEMs and suppliers.